Future Used Vehicle Supply and Residual Value Forecast May Also be Impacted
Santa Barbara, Calif., April 11, 2011 – The recent Japan disaster could result in a nearly 10 percent jump in new vehicle pricing for some key models, among other effects to the automotive industry, according to a just-released report by ALG, a subsidiary of DealerTrack Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: TRAK) and the industry benchmark for residual values and depreciation data.
With the disaster causing suspensions in operations for a majority of Japanese vehicle production facilities, dramatic disruptions to supply chains and damage to manufacturers’ fully-assembled vehicle inventory in the region, the ALG report analyzes the impact on new vehicle transaction prices, current new and future used vehicle supply, and residual values. The ALG analysis reveals that while a short 20-day interruption may have little or no impact, longer interruptions equating up to 100 days of vehicle production could cause an eight-to-nine percent increase in vehicle pricing on some models and a 0.2 to 0.7 percent increase in 36-month residual values as a result of changes in future used supply…
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For the complete ALG Japan Crisis Report, visit: http://www.alg.com/pdf/whitepaper_japan_crisis.pdf